In a seismic shift that’s sending shockwaves through Germany’s political landscape, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has rocketed to 23% support in a bombshell Forsa poll released today, closing the gap with the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) to a mere 4 percentage points.
The RTL/ntv Trendbarometer, shared by political commentator Neverforgetniki on X, paints a picture of a nation teetering on the edge of a historic realignment, raising urgent questions about the future of German democracy.
AfD Increased to 23 Percent, Threatening CDU’s Grip in Stunning Poll
The poll, conducted on March 18, 2025, shows the CDU clinging to 27% support, while the AfD’s unprecedented surge—up from its 2021 federal election result of 10.3%—has ignited fierce debate across the country.
“The resistance against Merz’s debt policies is real, and the AfD is capitalizing on it,” Neverforgetniki wrote, referencing CDU leader Friedrich Merz, who has faced mounting criticism for his wavering stance on Germany’s constitutionally enshrined debt brake.
Merz’s potential openness to reforming the fiscal rule, as reported by Reuters in November 2024, has fueled discontent among conservatives, potentially driving voters toward the AfD’s Eurosceptic, anti-immigration platform.
The AfD’s rise isn’t an isolated incident. The party’s momentum builds on its stunning victories in eastern German states, including a historic win in Thuringia in September 2024, where it emerged as the largest party.
With national elections looming, the Forsa data suggests the AfD could soon challenge the CDU as Germany’s dominant political force, a prospect that has left political analysts reeling. “If this trend holds, the AfD could redefine German politics—and not in a way Angela Merkel’s legacy would recognize,” said one Berlin-based political strategist.
Responses on X have been electric, with users like @KallePakulla lamenting, “Much too little… Who are the ‘others’ sleeping through this?” while @Branig661 posted an AfD campaign image declaring, “100% AfD—So Germany Becomes Safe Again.” Others, like @Andy64, expressed darker fears: “Germany must hit rock bottom before anything changes.” The thread reflects a polarized nation grappling with economic uncertainty, immigration, and the legacy of Merkel’s centrist policies.
According to Wikipedia and POLITICO, the AfD’s growth taps into regional frustrations, particularly in eastern Germany, where voter turnout and support for far-right parties have surged. The party’s pro-Russian stance and opposition to EU policies have resonated amid global tensions and domestic discontent over inflation and public debt.
Meanwhile, the CDU, under Merz’s leadership, faces an existential crisis as it struggles to maintain its traditional voter base while navigating internal divisions over fiscal policy.
As Germany heads toward the 2025 federal election—already the fourth early vote in post-war history—political watchers are left wondering: Is this the beginning of a far-right revolution, or can the CDU rally to reclaim its dominance? One thing is clear: the stakes have never been higher for Europe’s economic powerhouse. Stay tuned as this story unfolds.
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